NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500

NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500

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The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. After an electric start to the season at Daytona and 2 fast 1.5-mile paths in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Monster Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race in the tighter quarters of the one-mile loop at ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the last five March races in this track and will be the 9-4 favorite to collect another win at the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin is becoming 16-1, while Kurt Busch is at 30-1 NASCAR at Phoenix odds after a solid start to his period that has him eighth in the NASCAR standings. Before you make your own 2019 TicketGuardian 500 selections, make sure you check at the NASCAR at Phoenix projected leaderboard in the SportsLine Projection Model.

Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and current results into account.

It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, including correctly casting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. Plus it is off to a powerful start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers at a week’s Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its own projected top five. Is way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Events in venues like ISM Raceway are in his blood. His model has now simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For the 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we can tell you that the model is high on Clint Bowyer, making a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off as a long shot at 25-1 NASCAR odds. He’s a goal for anyone searching for a payday.

Bowyer struck a five-season drought without a win and went on to catch a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to some 12th-place finish in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he has added a top-five finish at Atlanta and has shown impressive speed occasionally. Bowyer has seven career top-10s at Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who drives for Stewart-Haas Racing, was second in one of the year’s Daytona Duels and shut out last year’s NASCAR schedule with an eight-place ending at Homestead. He’ll also come equipped to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 with a similar vehicle setup to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

Among those shocking 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix picks from the model: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner in ISM Raceway along with the very best Vegas favorite, makes a solid run but falls short of winning everything.

Harvick has made a career from getting to the front of the package consistently at this track. In Reality, He’s finished in the top 10 in 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway

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